The export supply side is added to the model by assessing the export capacity of individual countries, including over a five-year period. Import demand and export supply will then be compared in order to obtain combinations of exporting countries, products and importing countries (called convergences) with regional trade potential. The exploitation of this regional trade potential will be assessed taking into account the actual exports between the importing and exporting countries identified during the period 2010-2014. Since ratification is a national process, this magic number can take time. Even then, the entry into force of NAFTA could not result in immediate trade facilitation benefits. As Robert Ndege and Frank Nyambweke (2014) note, while the EAC is Africa`s most ambitious regional opening action with a goal of political integration, “progress has been slow with a still dynamic political environment and strong nationalist sentiments that constitute the greatest challenge for smooth integration” [Practice Africa, August 2014]. The second challenge is political. Burundi held controversial elections on July 15, 2015, boycotted by the political opposition. The President-in-Office, His E.
Pierre Nkurunziza, easily won under the circumstances. Before the elections, there was an attempted coup and instability, and the period that followed was marked by even greater instability, violence and threats of violence, which led to the exodus of refugees to the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Tanzania and Uganda. In South Sudan, a civil war has been raging since December 2013 between troops loyal to President Salvar Kiir and his former vice president Riek Machar. As a result, some customs and trade capacity building projects in both countries have been suspended or delayed and the effects have been felt throughout the region. Within NAFTA, which has 26 members, there are countries threatened with major conflicts or threatened with conflicts, such as the Democratic Republic of Congo, Egypt and Libya. Other NAFTA countries are preparing for political transitions, such as Tanzania (2015), Rwanda (2016) and Kenya (2017). Peaceful elections and a political transition are good for regional integration. NAFTA will benefit Africa in at least six ways to reinforce each other. First, the conclusion of the agreement will give impetus to the creation of similar agreements in West Africa and bring economic policy power centres such as Nigeria into a continental free trade area. Indeed, negotiations for a comprehensive agreement will begin in 2015, with the planned creation of an Africa-wide free market in 2017. On 15 June 2015, negotiations began at the 25th African Union Summit in Johannesburg, South Africa, with a view to establishing an African Continental Free Trade Area (AFTA) by 2017 with the 54 African Union states as members of the Free Trade Area.
 This article refers to these intra-regional trade opportunities at the importer-product-exporter level in the TFTA region. We first see the main elements of regional trade theory, the motivations for further integration and the status of economic partnerships and competitiveness in Africa. We will then discuss our method which uses the Filter 2 of the Decision Support Model (DSM) (Cuyvers, Steenkamp & Viviers 2012), a market selection tool that is used five years in a row to identify a potential for ever-increasing import demand in different TFTA countries. Unfortunately, cooperation between governments sometimes leads to suspicion within citizenship – and to a real danger – that human rights, including the right to privacy, could be violated. The NSLAI contains an annex on trade and customs cooperation, but not on security issues. There is a strong link between security and trade, so in the future, ASNL members may need to negotiate a security protocol, the implementation of which will be a challenge given the large number of members. The creation of a Free Trade Area from Cape Town to Cairo in June 2015 is perhaps the most important event in Africa since the establishment of the Organization for African Unity in 1963. . . .